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What role will Russia play in resolving the Ukraine conflict by April 20, 2025?
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Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg
Resolution / Starting Odds
Major Concessions • 25%
Minor Concessions • 25%
No Concessions • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Official statements from Russia, Ukraine, or international observers
Story
Trump Aims to End Ukraine War by Easter, Appoints Keith Kellogg as Envoy, Resolving Conflict by January 20
Jan 8, 2025, 07:59 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has prioritized ending the war in Ukraine, announcing plans to resolve the conflict within the first 100 days of his administration. Appointing General Keith Kellogg as the special representative for Ukraine and Russia, Trump aims to secure a solution that preserves Ukraine's sovereignty. Analysts suggest that a potential deal could emerge by Easter, contingent upon concessions from both Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Kellogg emphasized that the administration's approach will not involve yielding to Russian demands, but rather focus on fairness and the protection of Ukraine's territorial integrity.
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Other role • 25%
Non-participatory • 25%
Mediating role • 25%
Supportive but not mediating • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Full peace agreement • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire • 25%
Other • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Led by the EU • 25%
Led by the U.S. • 25%
No mediation efforts • 25%
Led by another country • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
NATO • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace treaty signed • 25%
Full ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial ceasefire agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Full peace treaty • 25%
No agreement • 25%