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Trump Aims to End Ukraine War by Easter, Appoints Keith Kellogg as Envoy, Resolving Conflict by January 20

Jan 8, 2025, 07:59 PM

President-elect Donald Trump has prioritized ending the war in Ukraine, announcing plans to resolve the conflict within the first 100 days of his administration. Appointing General Keith Kellogg as the special representative for Ukraine and Russia, Trump aims to secure a solution that preserves Ukraine's sovereignty. Analysts suggest that a potential deal could emerge by Easter, contingent upon concessions from both Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Kellogg emphasized that the administration's approach will not involve yielding to Russian demands, but rather focus on fairness and the protection of Ukraine's territorial integrity.

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General Keith Kellogg replaced as Ukraine envoy by April 30, 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Official announcements from the US government or reputable news outlets

Peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia by Easter 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the governments of Ukraine and Russia, or international news agencies

Ukraine's territorial integrity preserved in agreement by Easter 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Details of any peace agreement published by official government sources or reputable news outlets

Will Keith Kellogg secure a Ukraine-Russia peace agreement by Easter 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

Yes • 50%

No • 50%

Publicly available peace agreement documents or official statements from involved parties

Will the Ukraine war end by April 20, 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official announcements from the White House, Ukrainian government, or Russian government confirming the end of hostilities

Will Ukraine's territorial integrity be maintained in a peace agreement by April 20, 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

No • 50%

Yes • 50%

Official text of the agreement or statements from Ukrainian government confirming territorial integrity

Main component of Ukraine-Russia peace agreement by Easter 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

Economic agreements • 25%

Territorial concessions • 25%

Ceasefire without territorial changes • 25%

Other • 25%

Details of any peace agreement published by official government sources or reputable news outlets

Primary mediator in Ukraine-Russia peace talks by Easter 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

European Union • 25%

United Nations • 25%

Other • 25%

United States • 25%

Official announcements from the governments involved or international news agencies

Status of Crimea in agreement by Easter 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

Other • 25%

Remains under Russian control • 25%

Returned to Ukraine • 25%

Special autonomous status • 25%

Details of any peace agreement published by official government sources or reputable news outlets

What concessions will Ukraine make in a peace deal by April 20, 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

Territorial Concessions • 25%

No Concessions • 25%

Economic Concessions • 25%

Political Concessions • 25%

Details from the official peace agreement or statements from the Ukrainian government

What role will Russia play in resolving the Ukraine conflict by April 20, 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

No Concessions • 25%

Escalation • 25%

Major Concessions • 25%

Minor Concessions • 25%

Official statements from Russia, Ukraine, or international observers

What will be the outcome of Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations by April 20, 2025?

Donald Trump•Ukraine•Keith Kellogg•Russia•Trump•Easter•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelensky•Russian•Vladimir Putin•Kellogg

Resolution / Starting Odds

Full Peace Agreement • 25%

Other Outcome • 25%

No Agreement • 25%

Ceasefire Only • 25%

Official announcements or documents from the involved parties

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