Loading...
Market
What percentage of GOP delegates will Nikki Haley secure by end of primaries?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 5% • 25%
5% to 10% • 25%
10% to 15% • 25%
More than 15% • 25%
Official GOP delegate count at the conclusion of the primaries
Story
Trump Wins Indiana GOP Primary; Haley Garners 20% in Protest Vote
May 8, 2024, 01:43 AM
Donald Trump won the Republican presidential primary in Indiana, securing a victory despite significant protest votes within his own party. Nikki Haley, who had withdrawn from the race two months earlier, surprisingly garnered over 20% of the vote, indicating a notable level of dissent against Trump among GOP voters. This phenomenon of protest voting against Trump, who had won Indiana by 17 points in 2020, was observed not only in Indiana but also in other states, reflecting a broader discontent within the party.
View original story
Similar markets
Less than 10% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
20% to 30% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
Less than 20% • 25%
20% to 35% • 25%
36% to 50% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
Top support • 25%
Second place • 25%
Third place or lower • 25%
Withdraws from race • 25%
Trump gains 80% or more of delegates • 33%
Trump gains 50% to 79% of delegates • 33%
Trump gains less than 50% of delegates • 34%
Significant lead (10%+) • 33%
Moderate lead (5-10%) • 33%
Small lead (<5%) • 33%
Trump wins with over 75% • 25%
Trump wins with 50-75% • 25%
Haley wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%
Less than 70% • 25%
70% to 79% • 25%
80% to 89% • 25%
90% or more • 25%
0-10% • 25%
11-20% • 25%
21-30% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
Significant increase in party role • 25%
Nominal change in party role • 25%
Reduced role within the party • 25%
Exit from active politics • 25%
Donald Trump leading • 25%
Ron DeSantis leading • 25%
Nikki Haley leading • 25%
Other candidate leading • 25%