Loading...
Market
What will be the impact on Nikki Haley's role within the GOP by the end of 2024?
4
Indiana Republican•Nikki Haley•Donald Trump•Bartholomew County•Mike Pence•Haley•Marion•Hamilton•Trump•Republican
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant increase in party role • 25%
Nominal change in party role • 25%
Reduced role within the party • 25%
Exit from active politics • 25%
Party announcements or major news outlets
Story
Nikki Haley Secures 21% in Indiana GOP Primary; Trump Wins Despite 128,000 Votes for Haley
May 8, 2024, 11:35 AM
In the Indiana Republican primary, despite having suspended her campaign two months prior, Nikki Haley achieved notable voter support, capturing over 21% of the vote and garnering 128,000 votes. Former President Donald Trump won the primary with 76% of the statewide vote and secured all 58 state delegates, although he received only 66% in Bartholomew County, the home of Mike Pence. Haley's performance was particularly strong in suburban areas, with over 30% of the vote in counties like Marion and Hamilton. This result suggests a potential challenge for Trump, as Haley's continued appeal could influence future Republican dynamics.
View original story
Similar markets
Presidential Cabinet position • 30%
GOP senior leadership • 30%
Runs for office in 2026 • 20%
No major political role • 20%
Re-enters Presidential race • 25%
Accepts a cabinet or significant administrative position • 25%
Runs for a different significant political office • 25%
Remains out of the race and holds no new office • 25%
Presidential candidate • 25%
Vice Presidential candidate • 25%
Cabinet member • 25%
No official role • 25%
Political commentator • 25%
Non-profit leader • 25%
Corporate board member • 25%
None of the above • 25%
Vice Presidential Candidate • 25%
Senior Advisor • 25%
Campaign Manager • 25%
No official position • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Structural changes in leadership • 25%
Public reconciliation efforts • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased disciplinary actions • 25%