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How will the delegates be distributed in the next GOP primary after Indiana?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Trump gains 80% or more of delegates • 33%
Trump gains 50% to 79% of delegates • 33%
Trump gains less than 50% of delegates • 34%
Official delegate count release from the GOP or major political news coverage.
Story
Trump Wins Indiana GOP Primary, Secures 52 Delegates; Haley Garners 21.7% Despite Withdrawal
May 8, 2024, 12:03 PM
Former President Donald Trump won the Indiana GOP presidential primary with a significant lead, securing 78.3% of the votes with 70% of precincts reporting, amounting to 375,000 votes. His closest competitor, Nikki Haley, who had withdrawn from the race over two months ago, still managed to garner 21.7% of the vote, which translates to 103,000 votes. Despite her withdrawal, Haley's unexpected vote count indicates a notable level of dissent within the party. Additionally, Trump secured 52 of the 58 available delegates in Indiana.
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Similar markets
Trump wins with over 75% • 25%
Trump wins with 50-75% • 25%
Haley wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%
Increase • 33%
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Remain stable • 34%
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