Loading...
Market
Does Trump's primary victory margin decrease in 2024 compared to 2020?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Certified primary election results from all states
Story
Trump Wins Indiana GOP Primary; Haley Garners 20% in Protest Vote
May 8, 2024, 01:43 AM
Donald Trump won the Republican presidential primary in Indiana, securing a victory despite significant protest votes within his own party. Nikki Haley, who had withdrawn from the race two months earlier, surprisingly garnered over 20% of the vote, indicating a notable level of dissent against Trump among GOP voters. This phenomenon of protest voting against Trump, who had won Indiana by 17 points in 2020, was observed not only in Indiana but also in other states, reflecting a broader discontent within the party.
View original story
Similar markets
Wins GOP nomination • 33%
Withdraws from race • 33%
Loses GOP nomination • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Leading by less than 5% • 25%
Leading by 5% to 10% • 25%
Leading by 10% to 15% • 25%
Leading by more than 15% • 25%