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What level of legal challenge will Trump's deportation policies face by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%
Court rulings or major news reports
Story
Trump Plans Military-Assisted Mass Deportations, Calls Immigration an 'Invasion'; 59% Support Deportations
Dec 12, 2024, 05:56 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced a stringent approach to illegal immigration, characterizing it as an invasion of the United States. He plans to deploy the military to assist in mass deportations, stating he will operate within the maximum legal limits. Trump emphasized that he would not separate families during deportations, asserting that he would send entire families back to their countries. He also indicated that he may establish new camps for illegal migrants, depending on the situation. Trump's comments come amid significant public support for his deportation strategy, with reports indicating that 59% of Americans favor mass deportations. Additionally, he declared that he would cease business dealings with countries that refuse to accept their migrants back.
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Policies upheld • 25%
Policies struck down • 25%
Mixed rulings • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
No Challenges • 25%
Challenges but no injunctions • 25%
Injunctions but no reversals • 25%
Reversals or significant legal setbacks • 25%
Plans upheld • 25%
Plans blocked • 25%
Plans modified • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Plan upheld • 25%
Plan modified • 25%
Plan blocked • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Challenges but no injunctions • 25%
Temporary injunctions issued • 25%
Permanent injunction halting plan • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
1-5 significant legal challenges • 25%
6-10 significant legal challenges • 25%
More than 10 significant legal challenges • 25%
Program upheld • 25%
Program partially blocked • 25%
Program fully blocked • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Federal court challenges • 25%
State court challenges • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
No challenges • 25%