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What legal challenges will Trump's deportation plans face by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No Challenges • 25%
Challenges but no injunctions • 25%
Injunctions but no reversals • 25%
Reversals or significant legal setbacks • 25%
Court filings or major news outlets reporting on lawsuits
Story
Trump Advisers Plan Mass Deportations of 1.3 Million, WSJ Reports
Nov 9, 2024, 02:37 PM
Advisers to President-elect Donald Trump are drawing up plans to carry out his mass deportation pledge, according to WSJ. The plans include discussing funding methods and considering a national emergency declaration to repurpose military assets for detaining and removing individuals. The initial target is approximately 1.3 million undocumented immigrants who have already received deportation orders from a court, as well as those with other criminal convictions or charges. Trump has confirmed that deportations are going to happen.
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No significant legal challenges • 25%
1-5 significant legal challenges • 25%
6-10 significant legal challenges • 25%
More than 10 significant legal challenges • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Challenges but no injunctions • 25%
Temporary injunctions issued • 25%
Permanent injunction halting plan • 25%
Plans upheld • 25%
Plans blocked • 25%
Plans modified • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Partially blocked • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Plan upheld • 25%
Plan modified • 25%
Plan blocked • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%
Supreme Court ruling • 25%
Federal court injunction • 25%
State-level challenges • 25%
No major legal challenges • 25%
