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Will there be legal challenges to Trump's deportation plan by Jun 30, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court filings and rulings reported by legal databases or major news outlets
Story
Trump to Declare National Emergency, Use Military for Mass Deportations to Reverse 'Biden Invasion'
Nov 18, 2024, 01:25 PM
President-elect Donald Trump confirmed on Monday via his Truth Social platform that he plans to declare a national emergency and deploy the U.S. military to carry out mass deportations of illegal immigrants, calling the action necessary to address what he termed the "Biden invasion" at the southern border. Writing "TRUE!!", Trump emphasized his intention to reverse the border crisis through a mass deportation program using military assets to remove millions of people who entered the country illegally during the Biden administration.
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No Challenges • 25%
Challenges but no injunctions • 25%
Injunctions but no reversals • 25%
Reversals or significant legal setbacks • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Challenges but no injunctions • 25%
Temporary injunctions issued • 25%
Permanent injunction halting plan • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%