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What countermeasures will China take against Lithuania by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic downgrading • 25%
Military exercises near Lithuania • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official statements from Chinese government or credible news reports detailing the measures
Story
Lithuania Expels Three Chinese Embassy Staff on November 29, Citing Vienna Convention Violations; China Warns of Countermeasures
Dec 2, 2024, 06:56 AM
Lithuania has expelled three staff members from the Chinese mission, declaring them persona non grata due to activities that violate the Vienna Convention and Lithuanian law. The expulsion occurred on November 29, as confirmed by Lithuania's Foreign Ministry. This move could heighten tensions between Lithuania and China, especially as the incoming Lithuanian prime minister has indicated a willingness to restore diplomatic relations with Beijing. In response, China condemned the expulsion and warned of potential countermeasures, urging Lithuania to cease actions that undermine its sovereignty and diplomatic commitments. No comments have been issued from the Chinese mission in Lithuania regarding the situation.
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Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Military Posturing • 25%
No Action • 25%
Diplomatic expulsion of Lithuanian diplomats • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Negotiation attempts • 25%
No response • 25%
Tariffs on US goods • 25%
Restrictions on US tech companies • 25%
Investment in domestic semiconductor industry • 25%
No significant countermeasures • 25%
Resolved Amicably • 25%
Continued Tensions • 25%
Escalated to EU Level • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Strengthen Ties • 25%
Maintain Current Stance • 25%
Further Deterioration • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
