Loading...
Market
What countermeasures will China take against Lithuania by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Military Posturing • 25%
No Action • 25%
Official announcements from the Chinese government or major international news outlets
Story
Lithuania Expels Three Chinese Diplomats as 'Persona Non Grata' on November 29
Dec 2, 2024, 07:57 AM
Lithuania expelled three Chinese diplomatic staff members on November 29, citing violations of international and Lithuanian laws. The Lithuanian Foreign Ministry declared the individuals 'persona non grata' and demanded their departure. The decision comes amid strained relations between the two nations, exacerbated by Lithuania's support for Taiwan and alleged breaches of the one-China principle. China strongly condemned the move, labeling it as provocative and unjustified, and warned of potential countermeasures. Beijing has called on Lithuania to stop actions undermining China's sovereignty and expressed hope that Lithuania's incoming government will work towards improving bilateral ties.
View original story
Similar markets
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic downgrading • 25%
Military exercises near Lithuania • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic expulsion of Lithuanian diplomats • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Tariffs on US goods • 25%
Restrictions on US tech companies • 25%
Investment in domestic semiconductor industry • 25%
No significant countermeasures • 25%
Retaliatory sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Negotiation attempts • 25%
No response • 25%
Strengthened EU-China relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deteriorated EU-China relations • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Other • 25%
Retaliatory Measures Announced • 50%
No Retaliatory Measures • 50%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No response • 25%
Strengthening ties • 25%
Maintaining current stance • 25%
Further distancing • 25%
Unclear policy • 25%