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What changes will occur in Syrian government due to coerced testimony revelations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Policy changes • 25%
Leadership changes • 25%
Both policy and leadership changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Official announcements or changes observed in Syrian government structure or policies
Story
Two Syrian Doctors and a Nurse Coerced Into False Testimony on 2018 Douma Chlorine Attack by Bashar al-Assad
Dec 23, 2024, 05:57 PM
Two Syrian doctors and a nurse have reported that they were coerced by the government of President Bashar al-Assad to provide false testimony regarding a deadly chlorine attack in Douma in 2018. The medical professionals stated that they faced pressure to deny the use of chemical weapons during investigations by international authorities. This revelation comes after a chlorine attack in Douma that resulted in numerous casualties, which has been previously confirmed by the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) as a chemical assault. The medics' accounts highlight ongoing concerns about the Syrian regime's actions and the treatment of witnesses in such investigations.
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Constitutional reforms • 25%
New elections held • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Stable government formed • 25%
Ongoing political instability • 25%
Return of Assad's regime • 25%
Interim government with international oversight • 25%
Continued civil unrest with no clear leadership • 25%
Democratic government established • 25%
Military junta takes control • 25%
Bashar Assad remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Assad replaced by another regime member • 25%
Assad replaced by opposition leader • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
Assad regime retains control • 25%
Non-sectarian government established • 25%
Government collapse • 25%
New sectarian government formed • 25%
Current government remains • 25%
Increased opposition to Assad regime • 25%
Increased support for Assad regime • 25%
Other political shifts • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Cabinet reshuffle • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Military coup • 25%
New president elected • 25%
Social reforms • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Political reforms • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Military coup • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
New interim government established • 25%
Continued unrest • 25%
Bashar al-Assad remains in power • 25%
Interim government • 25%
New leader from Assad's party • 25%
Opposition leader takes power • 25%