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What changes will occur in Sudanese military leadership following the July 31 drone assassination attempt on Al-Burhan by the end of 2024?
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Transitional Sovereignty Council•Sudan•Sudanese Armed Forces•Rapid Support Forces•RSF•Army•Nabil Abdallah•Gebit•Port Sudan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Major reshuffle • 25%
Minor reshuffle • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements or verified news reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Sudanese President Al-Burhan Survives July 31 Drone Assassination Attempt, Five Killed
Jul 31, 2024, 10:27 AM
Sudanese President Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, who also heads the Transitional Sovereignty Council, survived an assassination attempt involving a drone strike on Wednesday morning, July 31. The attack targeted an army base in eastern Sudan during a military graduation ceremony attended by Al-Burhan. Five people, including students and an officer, were killed in the incident, and several others were injured. The Sudanese Armed Forces reported that they destroyed two hostile drones during the attack. No group, including the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), has claimed responsibility for the assassination attempt. Army spokesman Nabil Abdallah stated that the RSF, which the army has been battling for control of the country, is to blame. The incident occurred in Gebit, approximately 100 kilometers from Port Sudan.
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Similar markets
Replace top military officials • 25%
Reorganize military command structure • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Rapid Support Forces • 25%
Another Sudanese group • 25%
Foreign entity • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Military crackdown • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Perpetrators identified and arrested • 25%
Perpetrators identified but not arrested • 25%
No perpetrators identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan • 25%
RSF Leadership • 25%
Transitional Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Sudan's Army • 33%
RSF • 33%
Shared Control • 33%
Other • 1%
Rapid Support Forces • 25%
Foreign Entity • 25%
Internal Political Rivals • 25%
No one blamed • 25%