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What will be the next major action taken by President Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan in response to the assassination attempt within the next three months?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Military crackdown • 25%
Diplomatic measures • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Official Sudanese government announcements, international news agencies
Story
Sudanese President Al-Burhan Survives Drone Assassination Attempt on July 31, Five Killed
Jul 31, 2024, 08:19 AM
Sudanese President Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan survived an assassination attempt involving a drone strike on Wednesday morning, July 31. The attack targeted an army base in eastern Sudan during Al-Burhan's visit. Eyewitnesses reported that the strike occurred at a military graduation ceremony, resulting in the deaths of five people, including students and an officer. No group, including the Rapid Support Forces, has claimed responsibility for the attack. The incident took place at the Jbbit military base, approximately 100 kilometers from Port Sudan. Al-Burhan is also the President of the Transitional Sovereignty Council of Sudan.
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Major reshuffle • 25%
Minor reshuffle • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Perpetrators identified and arrested • 25%
Perpetrators identified but not arrested • 25%
Perpetrators not identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Increases public appearances • 25%
Decreases public appearances • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Makes a major policy announcement • 25%
Hold a rally • 25%
File a lawsuit • 25%
Make a public statement • 25%
No major action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Perpetrators identified and arrested • 25%
Perpetrators identified but not arrested • 25%
No perpetrators identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Sanctions on Iran • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure • 25%
Military action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Rapid Support Forces (RSF) • 25%
Foreign Entity • 25%
Internal Dissidents • 25%
Other • 25%
No action • 25%
Internal review • 25%
Policy changes • 25%
Leadership changes • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Replace top military officials • 25%
Reorganize military command structure • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%