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What changes in Syrian governance or policies will occur due to the French mission by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant policy shifts • 25%
Minor policy adjustments • 25%
No policy changes • 25%
Other developments • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official Syrian government announcements
Story
French Diplomatic Mission of Four Diplomats to Damascus on December 17, 2024, to Reestablish Contact and Assess Local Needs
Dec 15, 2024, 01:22 PM
A French diplomatic mission is scheduled to visit Damascus, Syria, on Tuesday, December 17, 2024, as confirmed by acting Foreign Minister Jean-Noël Barrot. The mission aims to reestablish contact with the new Syrian government led by Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) following the fall of Bashar al-Assad. Barrot stated that the delegation will consist of four diplomats and will focus on establishing initial contacts, assessing the needs of the local population, and reclaiming French assets in the region. This visit marks a significant step in France's diplomatic engagement with Syria.
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Complete expulsion of foreign bases • 25%
More foreign bases allowed • 25%
Existing bases maintained • 25%
Reduction in foreign bases • 25%
Increased support for Assad regime • 25%
Increased opposition to Assad regime • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Other political shifts • 25%
Successful asset reclamation • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Increased humanitarian aid • 25%
Establishment of diplomatic relations • 25%
Increased economic investment • 25%
No significant policy change • 25%
Stronger diplomatic ties • 25%
Enhanced military cooperation • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Social reforms • 25%
Economic reforms • 25%
Political reforms • 25%
Constitutional reforms • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Bashar Assad remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Assad replaced by opposition leader • 25%
Assad replaced by another regime member • 25%
Other policy change • 25%
Increased support for Turkey's stance • 25%
Maintaining current policy • 25%
Increased support for Syrian groups • 25%
No significant change • 25%
US increases involvement • 25%
US maintains limited presence • 25%
US fully withdraws from Syria • 25%
Cabinet reshuffle • 25%
Military coup • 25%
No significant change • 25%
New president elected • 25%
New Democratic government • 25%
Pro-Iranian leadership • 25%
Other • 25%
Military Junta • 25%