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Stabilization of Syria post-Assad by end of 2025?
2
Russian Foreign Intelligence Service•SVR•United States•United Kingdom•Russian•Syria•Moscow•Washington•London
Resolution / Starting Odds
Stabilized government established • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Fragmented control • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reports from international organizations like the UN or credible news outlets
Story
Russian SVR Claims US and UK Plotting Terrorist Attacks on Russian Bases in Syria
Dec 28, 2024, 06:28 AM
The Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) has accused the United States and United Kingdom intelligence agencies of planning terrorist attacks on Russian military bases in Syria. According to the SVR, these provocations are intended to compel Moscow to evacuate its military personnel from Syria. Furthermore, the SVR claims that Washington and London are attempting to prevent the stabilization of the situation in Syria after the ousting of President Bashar al-Assad.
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New elections held • 25%
Ongoing civil unrest • 25%
Stable government established • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
A remnant of the Assad regime • 25%
A new coalition government • 25%
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
New leadership emerges in Syria • 25%
Stability improves in Syria • 25%
Continued instability in Syria • 25%
Government Regains Control • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Government retains power • 25%
Opposition victory • 25%
Other • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Government regains full control • 25%
Significant gains by opposition • 25%
Status quo • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Ongoing civil conflict • 25%
New government established • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Complete Rebel Victory • 25%
Partial Rebel Control • 25%
Continued civil unrest with no clear leadership • 25%
Military junta takes control • 25%
Democratic government established • 25%
Interim government with international oversight • 25%
Pro-Iranian leadership • 25%
Pro-Western leadership • 25%
Independent leadership • 25%
No stable leadership • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Assad regime retains control • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
Resigned voluntarily • 25%
Still in power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ongoing conflict with no clear resolution • 25%
New government established • 25%
Assad regime remains in power • 25%
Extradited to another country • 25%
Deceased • 25%
Returned to Syria • 25%
In Russia under asylum • 25%
