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Outcome of Syrian political situation by end of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Assad regime remains in power • 25%
New government established • 25%
Ongoing conflict with no clear resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from major international news agencies and diplomatic sources
Story
Erdogan Declares New Political Reality in Syria, Emphasizes Syrian Ownership After 13 Years of Conflict and 910 km Border
Dec 7, 2024, 02:47 PM
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan has announced a new political and diplomatic reality in Syria, emphasizing that the country belongs to its people, who will determine its future. In a recent address, Erdoğan criticized the Assad regime for failing to recognize Turkey's efforts to extend a hand for peace, stating, "The Syrian people deserve independence and to live in security, justice, and equality." He expressed hope for Syria to achieve the peace it has long sought, particularly after 13 years of conflict. Erdoğan highlighted Turkey's commitment to stability in the region, mentioning the country's extensive border with Syria and the increasing attacks on civilians in Idlib, which he described as a tipping point. He reiterated that Turkey has no territorial ambitions in Syria, stating, "We have no eye on anyone's land." Erdoğan's remarks reflect Turkey's ongoing involvement and interest in the Syrian conflict, as well as its aspirations for a peaceful resolution.
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Status quo • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Significant gains by opposition • 25%
Government regains full control • 25%
New government established • 25%
Complete Rebel Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Partial Rebel Control • 25%
Government Regains Control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ongoing civil conflict • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Government retains power • 25%
Opposition victory • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Assad Regime Victory • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
Stalemate/Status Quo • 25%
Rebel Victory • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Ongoing civil unrest • 25%
Stable government established • 25%
Other • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition government formed • 25%
Assad regime retains control • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Rebels gain significant ground • 25%
Government gains significant ground • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Prolonged conflict • 25%
New government formed • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Regime Change • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Other • 25%
Military junta takes control • 25%
Interim government with international oversight • 25%
Continued civil unrest with no clear leadership • 25%
Democratic government established • 25%
Bashar al-Assad remains • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Interim government formed • 25%
New leader emerges • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Return of Assad's regime • 25%
Ongoing political instability • 25%
Stable government formed • 25%
Constitutional reforms • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
No major changes • 25%
New elections held • 25%