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Public sentiment outcome of Yoon protests by Jan 12, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support Yoon • 25%
Majority oppose Yoon • 25%
Public opinion remains divided • 25%
Other • 25%
Polls or surveys conducted by reputable South Korean organizations
Story
Impeached South Korean President Yoon Evades Arrest After Standoff; Court Rejects Objection
Jan 5, 2025, 01:40 AM
On Friday, January 3, 2025, South Korean investigators failed in their attempt to arrest impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol at his residence in Seoul over his failed martial law declaration. The six-hour standoff with Yoon's security team ended after investigators cited safety concerns and called off the arrest. The investigators have since asked Acting President Choi Sang-mok to order the presidential security service to comply with the arrest warrant, which is set to expire on Monday, January 6. A South Korean court has dismissed Yoon's objection to the arrest warrant. Thousands of protesters for and against Yoon have staged rallies in Seoul, braving heavy snow as tensions escalate ahead of the warrant's expiration. The presidential security service has refused to cooperate, citing legal debates over the warrant.
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Protests Subside • 33%
Protests Remain Unchanged • 34%
Protests Intensify • 33%
Protests escalate into larger national movement • 25%
Protests subside with no major change • 25%
Protests lead to new government policies • 25%
Protests lead to President Yoon's resignation • 25%
Equal turnout • 25%
No significant demonstrations • 25%
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Anti-Yoon demonstrators • 25%
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President Yoon resigns • 25%
Martial law lifted, Yoon remains • 25%
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Yoon resigns • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
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Protests lead to Yoon's arrest • 25%
Protests lead to no change • 25%
Protests lead to warrant extension • 25%
Protests remain evenly matched • 25%
Pro-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Anti-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Violence or unrest • 25%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Protesters disband without resolution • 25%
Government concession • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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Protests remain stable • 25%
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Protests increase • 25%
Protests decrease • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Protests Subside • 25%
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Increase by 5% or more • 25%
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Remain within +/- 5% • 25%
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