Loading...
Market
Outcome of next major protest against President Yoon by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Violence or unrest • 25%
Government concession • 25%
Protesters disband without resolution • 25%
News reports and official statements
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Survives Impeachment Vote Amid Ruling Party Boycott
Dec 7, 2024, 12:40 PM
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has survived an impeachment vote in the National Assembly on Saturday, December 7, after members of his ruling party boycotted the vote. The motion to impeach President Yoon, who had recently imposed and then lifted martial law, failed to reach the required two-thirds majority of 200 votes in the 300-seat chamber, with only 195 votes cast. The boycott by the ruling party lawmakers ensured that the vote did not pass, allowing Yoon to remain in office. This political drama unfolded amidst public protests, with an estimated 150,000 people in Seoul demanding the President's resignation. President Yoon had issued a public apology for his martial law misstep.
View original story
Similar markets
Protests intensify • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Protests subside with no major change • 25%
Protests lead to President Yoon's resignation • 25%
Protests lead to new government policies • 25%
Protests escalate into larger national movement • 25%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
Martial law lifted, Yoon remains • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment proceedings • 25%
Travel ban imposed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Protests Intensify • 33%
Protests Subside • 33%
Protests Remain Unchanged • 34%
President resigns • 25%
President remains • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment proceedings • 25%
Resignation • 25%
Continued investigation • 25%
No action • 25%
Protests Intensify • 25%
Protests Subside • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Protests End • 25%
Protests increase • 25%
Protests decrease • 25%
Protests remain stable • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Impeached • 25%
Not Impeached • 25%
Motion Fails • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Impeachment Passed • 25%
Impeachment Failed • 25%
Yoon Resigned Before Conclusion • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Impeachment upheld • 25%
Impeachment rejected • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%