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What will be the status of protests in Seoul regarding President Yoon's impeachment by January 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Protests Intensify • 25%
Protests Subside • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Protests End • 25%
Reports from major news outlets and Seoul police statements
Story
South Korea's President Yoon Faces Impeachment Vote After Martial Law Attempt
Dec 11, 2024, 08:13 PM
South Korea is grappling with a significant political crisis following President Yoon Suk Yeol's brief declaration of martial law on December 3. The situation has escalated with the police attempting to raid Yoon's office as part of an investigation into his decision. The crisis has led to a surge in calls for Yoon's impeachment, with the Democratic Party pushing for his removal from office. Amidst this turmoil, former Defense Minister Kim Yong Hyun, who was detained in connection with the martial law declaration, attempted suicide in prison. The political instability has sparked protests in Seoul demanding Yoon's ouster, and North Korean state media has begun covering the situation, focusing on the protests against Yoon. An impeachment vote is looming, and the police raid on Yoon's office adds to the mounting pressure on the president. The crisis has also drawn international attention, with some observers noting parallels to past authoritarian regimes in the region.
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Protests Remain Unchanged • 34%
Protests Intensify • 33%
Protests Subside • 33%
Pro-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Protests remain evenly matched • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Anti-Yoon protests prevail • 25%
Protests remain stable • 25%
Protests increase • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Protests decrease • 25%
Government crackdown • 25%
Protests intensify • 25%
Yoon resigns • 25%
Protests dissipate • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Peaceful resolution • 25%
Protesters disband without resolution • 25%
Government concession • 25%
Violence or unrest • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Martial law lifted, Yoon remains • 25%
President Yoon resigns • 25%
Protests lead to new government policies • 25%
Protests escalate into larger national movement • 25%
Protests lead to President Yoon's resignation • 25%
Protests subside with no major change • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Protests against • 25%
Protests in favor • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Public opinion divided • 34%
Majority support impeachment • 33%
Majority oppose impeachment • 33%
Impeachment upheld and Yoon removed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Impeachment process stalled with no resolution • 25%
Impeachment overturned and Yoon reinstated • 25%
No Significant Protests • 25%
Minor Protests Occur • 25%
Mass Protests Occur • 25%
Other Outcomes • 25%