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Public reaction to Judge Merchan's ruling on Trump's case by end of 2024
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support ruling • 33%
Majority oppose ruling • 33%
Public opinion remains divided • 34%
Public opinion polls or media reports
Story
Judge Merchan to Rule on Trump's Hush Money Conviction Over Immunity
Nov 11, 2024, 09:50 PM
A New York judge, Justice Juan Merchan, is set to rule on whether to overturn former President Donald Trump's conviction in a criminal hush money case. The decision hinges on the U.S. Supreme Court's July ruling on presidential immunity, which could potentially dismiss the charges or lead to a new trial. Trump was convicted on 34 counts of falsifying business records related to payments made to a porn star to keep quiet about their relationship. The judge's decision could either uphold the conviction or dismiss it, potentially affecting Trump's political future as he prepares to take office again.
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Similar markets
Mostly Supportive • 25%
Mostly Critical • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
No Significant Reaction • 25%
Predominantly Positive • 25%
Predominantly Negative • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Cleared of Charges • 25%
Sentenced • 25%
New Trial • 25%
Other Legal Developments • 25%
Majority Positive • 25%
Majority Negative • 25%
Balanced Coverage • 25%
Minimal Coverage • 25%
Increased support for Trump • 25%
Decreased support for Trump • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Polarized reactions • 25%
Mostly favorable • 33%
Mostly unfavorable • 33%
Neutral • 33%
No actions • 25%
Recusal motion filed • 25%
Disciplinary action • 25%
Other legal action • 25%
Charges upheld • 33%
Charges dismissed • 33%
Charges modified • 33%
Conviction Overturned • 25%
Conviction Upheld • 25%
Ruling Delayed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Conviction upheld • 33%
Conviction set aside • 33%
New trial ordered • 33%