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Outcome of Merchan's ruling on Trump's hush money conviction by November 12, 2024
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Conviction Overturned • 25%
Conviction Upheld • 25%
Ruling Delayed • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Official court documents or announcements from the New York court system
Story
Justice Juan Merchan to Rule on Trump’s Hush Money Conviction by Tuesday Following July Supreme Court Ruling
Nov 10, 2024, 10:00 PM
A New York judge, Justice Juan Merchan, is set to rule this week on whether to overturn President-elect Donald Trump's criminal conviction related to hush money payments made to Stormy Daniels. This decision comes in light of a July ruling by the U.S. Supreme Court regarding presidential immunity. Trump's conviction stems from accusations of concealing payments to Daniels to silence her about their alleged relationship. A favorable ruling could significantly impact Trump's legal challenges, potentially freeing him from four criminal cases that have posed risks to his political career. The judge's decision is expected by Tuesday.
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Conviction Overturned • 25%
New Trial Ordered • 25%
Conviction Upheld • 25%
Other • 25%
Conviction upheld • 33%
Conviction dismissed • 33%
New trial ordered • 34%
Conviction Overturned • 33%
New Trial Ordered • 33%
Conviction Upheld • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Sentenced • 25%
Conviction set aside • 25%
Sentencing delayed again • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Mistrial declared • 34%
Conviction • 33%
Acquittal • 33%
Mistrial • 34%
Prison Sentence • 25%
Probation • 25%
Community Service • 25%
No Sentence • 25%
