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Will the U.S. Supreme Court intervene in Trump's hush money case by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official court ruling or announcement
Story
Judge Merchan to Rule on Trump's Hush Money Conviction Over Immunity
Nov 11, 2024, 09:50 PM
A New York judge, Justice Juan Merchan, is set to rule on whether to overturn former President Donald Trump's conviction in a criminal hush money case. The decision hinges on the U.S. Supreme Court's July ruling on presidential immunity, which could potentially dismiss the charges or lead to a new trial. Trump was convicted on 34 counts of falsifying business records related to payments made to a porn star to keep quiet about their relationship. The judge's decision could either uphold the conviction or dismiss it, potentially affecting Trump's political future as he prepares to take office again.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
State Court • 25%
Federal Court • 25%
Supreme Court • 25%
No final arbiter by deadline • 25%
Justice Merchan • 25%
Another Judge • 25%
Special Master • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Case Upheld • 25%
Sentencing Postponed • 25%
New Trial Ordered • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Sentenced • 25%
Conviction set aside • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Request granted • 33%
Request denied • 33%
Request pending • 33%