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Impact of Judge Merchan's decision on Trump's political career by end of 2024
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant impact • 33%
Trump withdraws from presidential race • 33%
Trump's campaign gains momentum • 34%
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Story
Judge Merchan to Rule on Trump's Hush Money Conviction Over Immunity
Nov 11, 2024, 09:50 PM
A New York judge, Justice Juan Merchan, is set to rule on whether to overturn former President Donald Trump's conviction in a criminal hush money case. The decision hinges on the U.S. Supreme Court's July ruling on presidential immunity, which could potentially dismiss the charges or lead to a new trial. Trump was convicted on 34 counts of falsifying business records related to payments made to a porn star to keep quiet about their relationship. The judge's decision could either uphold the conviction or dismiss it, potentially affecting Trump's political future as he prepares to take office again.
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