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Primary reason for negotiation failure by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Security concerns • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Lack of international support • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Statements from negotiation parties or credible news analysis
Story
Al-Quds Brigades' Abu Hamza Reports Israeli Hostage Suicide Attempt Due to Psychological State
Jan 2, 2025, 10:04 AM
The Al-Quds Brigades, the military wing of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad, reported that three days ago, one of their medical teams successfully intervened to prevent an Israeli hostage from committing suicide. The hostage's psychological state had deteriorated following the imposition of new conditions by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government, which led to the failure and delay of negotiations for his release, according to Abu Hamza, the military spokesperson for the Al-Quds Brigades. The hostage was scheduled to be released in the first stage of a prisoner exchange deal with Israel. In response to the incident, the Al-Quds Brigades have decided to tighten security and safety measures for the hostages.
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Lack of support from Republicans • 25%
Lack of support from Democrats • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Presidential veto • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
New Israeli demands • 25%
Internal Palestinian disagreements • 25%
Internal political dynamics • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Diplomatic strategy • 25%
Other factors • 25%
Other • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Human error • 25%
Design flaw • 25%
Other entity • 25%
Israeli government • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Both parties • 25%
U.S. pressure on Israel • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Lack of international pressure • 25%
Internal Hamas strategy • 25%
Hostage Release Issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
Ceasefire Terms • 25%
Lack of progress • 25%
External pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Need for internal consultations • 25%
Disaster relief funding • 25%
Debt ceiling increase • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic assistance for farmers • 25%
Russian demands • 25%
Ukrainian resistance • 25%
U.S. policy stance • 25%
International opposition • 25%
Breach Mitigated • 25%
Data Released • 25%
Ransom Paid • 25%
Negotiation Ongoing • 25%
Extended negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%