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Primary reason for Israeli delegation's success or failure in Qatar negotiations by January 31, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic strategy • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Internal political dynamics • 25%
Other factors • 25%
Analysis from credible news agencies or official statements
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Israeli Delegation Heads to Qatar for Last-Minute Hostage and Ceasefire Talks Before Trump's Inauguration
Jan 2, 2025, 06:13 PM
An Israeli delegation, including representatives from the Mossad, Shin Bet, and the Israeli military, is set to travel to Doha, Qatar on Friday for last-minute negotiations aimed at achieving a breakthrough in the hostage and ceasefire deal in Gaza. The urgency of these talks is underscored by the impending inauguration of President Donald Trump. Israeli officials have described the mission as a final attempt to make progress before the transition of power. The delegation's visit follows reports of significant progress in the negotiations, prompting Israel to send its team to Doha. Netanyahu's office confirmed the delegation's travel, and a creative new proposal has been put forward by Israel to resolve the situation.
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Need for internal consultations • 25%
Lack of progress • 25%
External pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreed • 25%
Both hostage deal and ceasefire agreed • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Hostage deal agreed • 25%
Ceasefire only • 25%
Neither • 25%
Both ceasefire and hostage release • 25%
Hostage release only • 25%
IDF • 25%
Mossad • 25%
Other • 25%
ISA • 25%
Partial agreement (e.g., hostage release only) • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Qatar withdraws from mediation • 25%
Qatar successfully mediates a ceasefire • 25%
Qatar's mediation leads to partial agreements • 25%
Qatar remains involved without resolution • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
Hostages released and rocket attacks ceased • 25%
Neither demands met • 25%
Only hostages released • 25%
Only rocket attacks ceased • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
All hostages released • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Ceasefire Terms • 25%
Other • 25%
Hostage Release Issues • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%