Loading...
Market
What will be identified as the key reason for the Kairos No. 2 failure by March 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Technical malfunction • 25%
Design flaw • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigation reports from Space One or relevant authorities
Story
Space One's Kairos No. 2 Fails to Launch 5 Satellites, Japan's First Private Launch Attempt
Dec 18, 2024, 02:18 AM
Space One, a Japanese space startup, launched its Kairos No. 2 rocket from Spaceport Kii in Kushimoto, Wakayama Prefecture, at 11:00 a.m. on December 18. The rocket, which is 18 meters long and weighs 23 tons, used solid fuel and was carrying five small satellites. The launch aimed to place these satellites into orbit, marking Japan's first attempt to launch a satellite into orbit by a private company alone. However, shortly after liftoff, at 11:02, the first and second stages separated, and at 11:03, the fairing separated. At 11:12, the company announced that it had determined the mission was unachievable and initiated flight termination measures. This marks the second consecutive failure for Space One, following the explosion of the first Kairos rocket shortly after launch in March. The company is currently investigating the details of the failure and plans to hold a press conference to provide further information.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Human error • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
External factors • 25%
Design flaw identified • 25%
Manufacturing defect identified • 25%
Operational error identified • 25%
Cause remains inconclusive • 25%
Announces a new launch date • 25%
No significant action reported • 25%
Seeks partnership or investment • 25%
Focuses on investigation and improvements • 25%
Adverse side effects • 25%
Ineffective dosage • 25%
Patient non-compliance • 25%
Other • 25%
Individual misconduct • 25%
Policy failure • 25%
Lack of training • 25%
Other causes • 25%
Political disagreements • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Lack of international support • 25%
Design flaw • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Maintenance oversight • 25%
Other • 25%
Logistical issues • 25%
Staffing shortages • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Public protests • 25%
Insufficient resources • 25%
Human error • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Other causes • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Maintenance error • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Weather conditions • 25%
Other • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%