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Primary reason for ceasefire agreement delay by March 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hamas demands • 25%
Israeli conditions • 25%
Mediator disagreements • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis from international news agencies and statements from involved parties.
Story
Netanyahu Accuses Hamas of Reneging on Ceasefire Deal, Citing Last-Minute Crisis Delaying Approval
Jan 16, 2025, 08:53 AM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office announced that Hamas is reneging on parts of the previously agreed Gaza ceasefire deal, creating a last-minute crisis and attempting to 'extort further concessions.' The statement accused Hamas of abandoning explicit understandings reached with mediators—including Qatar, Egypt, and the United States—in an effort to exert pressure. As a result, the Israeli cabinet will not convene to approve the ceasefire until mediators confirm that Hamas has fully agreed to all details of the agreement. The postponement delays approval of the deal aimed at ending hostilities and facilitating hostage releases.
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Political opposition • 25%
Disagreement on terms • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Other • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws and disarms • 25%
Ceasefire agreement collapses • 25%
Partial withdrawal or disarmament • 25%
No withdrawal or disarmament • 25%
Disagreements over prisoner release terms • 25%
Logistical challenges • 25%
Other • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release terms • 25%
Internal Israeli Opposition • 25%
Hamas Demands • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
External Political Pressure • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
New ceasefire agreement • 25%
Israel takes military action • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release • 25%
New Israeli conditions • 25%
Lack of international mediation • 25%
Other • 25%
Agreement dissolved • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
30 to 59 days • 25%
More than 60 days • 25%
Exactly 60 days • 25%
Less than 30 days • 25%
Ceasefire approved • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
Ceasefire renegotiated • 25%
Ceasefire rejected • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Extended negotiations • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Other outcome • 25%