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Main reason for failure to implement ceasefire by February 28, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Disagreement on terms • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Political opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports and analysis from credible news agencies such as CNN, BBC, or Al Jazeera.
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Hamas Accepts Ceasefire, Hostage Release Plan; Israel's Approval Pending
Jan 14, 2025, 11:49 AM
Hamas has accepted a draft agreement for a ceasefire in the Gaza Strip and the release of dozens of hostages, including 33 in the initial phase, according to officials involved in the talks in Cairo. Mediator Qatar announced that the negotiations are at the 'closest point' yet to sealing a deal, urging the parties to sign the agreement as soon as possible, with an announcement expected within the next 24 hours. Israel is still weighing the proposal, with Israeli officials indicating that progress has been made but that details are being finalized. The deal would involve Hamas releasing hostages in exchange for Israel freeing Palestinian prisoners. The plan requires approval by the Israeli Cabinet before implementation. Mediators Qatar, Egypt, and the United States are involved in finalizing the details.
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Political disagreements • 25%
Lack of international support • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Internal Palestinian disagreements • 25%
New Israeli demands • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Logistical challenges • 25%
Disagreements over prisoner release terms • 25%
Other • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release terms • 25%
Ceasefire agreement collapses • 25%
No withdrawal or disarmament • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws and disarms • 25%
Partial withdrawal or disarmament • 25%
Other • 25%
Lack of international mediation • 25%
New Israeli conditions • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release • 25%
EU diplomatic action • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant action • 25%
US military support to Israel • 25%
Internal Israeli Opposition • 25%
External Political Pressure • 25%
Hamas Demands • 25%
Mediation Challenges • 25%
New ceasefire agreement • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Hezbollah withdraws • 25%
Israel takes military action • 25%
Failed implementation • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Successful implementation • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Extended negotiations • 25%
30 to 59 days • 25%
Less than 30 days • 25%
Exactly 60 days • 25%
More than 60 days • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Agreement dissolved • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%