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Outcome of US-Houthi conflict escalation by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Increased US military involvement • 25%
Withdrawal of US forces • 25%
Reports from international conflict monitoring organizations or major news outlets
Story
US Conducts Airstrikes on Houthi Targets in Yemen Following Missile Attack on Israel
Dec 21, 2024, 09:35 PM
On December 21, 2024, the US military conducted precision airstrikes against Houthi targets in Yemen's capital, Sanaa, targeting a missile storage facility and a command-and-control center operated by the Iran-backed Houthis, according to a statement by US Central Command. The strikes, carried out by F/A-18 Hornet fighter jets, aimed to disrupt and degrade the Houthis' ability to conduct operations, including attacks against US Navy warships. The operation came hours after the Houthis claimed responsibility for firing a missile at Tel Aviv, Israel, which injured 16 people. During the operation, US forces intercepted and shot down multiple Houthi drones and an anti-ship cruise missile over the Red Sea.
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Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi forces retreat • 25%
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Israeli withdrawal • 25%
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Houthi retaliation • 25%
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Moderate impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
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Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
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Peace Treaty • 25%
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Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
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Limited impact • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
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Stalemate with no resolution • 25%
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Peace agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Decreased operations • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliatory attacks • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Houthi military capabilities significantly reduced • 25%