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Outcome of Houthi-Israel conflict by Jun 30, 2025?
2
Houthi•Yemen•Israel•Ben Gurion Airport•Tel Aviv•Palestine2•Israeli•Sanaa•Houthis•Santa Ursula•Arabian Sea•Yahya Sarea
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Escalation to regional conflict • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Yemen's Houthis Launch Hypersonic Missile and Drone Attacks on Israel, Including Ben Gurion Airport and Ship Santa Ursula
Dec 27, 2024, 08:30 AM
The Iran-backed Houthi rebels in Yemen have claimed responsibility for a series of attacks on Israel, including a ballistic missile strike targeting Ben Gurion Airport in Tel Aviv using a hypersonic missile of the type 'Palestine2'. The missile attack was carried out in retaliation to Israeli strikes on Sanaa's international airport and other targets in Yemen. The Houthis also reported launching drone attacks on Tel Aviv and a ship named Santa Ursula in the Arabian Sea. The Houthi military spokesman, Yahya Sarea, confirmed the successful execution of these operations, stating that the missile reached its target despite Israeli efforts to censor the information. The attacks come amidst heightened tensions following Israeli military actions in Yemen, which have included strikes on airports, ports, and power stations.
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Continued hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Escalation to wider conflict • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Houthi forces retreat • 25%
Israeli withdrawal • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Peace Treaty • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Houthi Victory • 25%
Israeli Victory • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Houthi retreat from Hodeidah • 25%
Other • 25%
Israeli victory • 25%
Houthi victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Limited damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
No reported damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Complete military victory for Israel • 25%
Partial military success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Houthi military victory • 25%
Complete destruction of infrastructure • 25%
Partial destruction • 25%
No significant damage • 25%
Operation called off • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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International mediation • 25%
Other • 25%
Houthis significantly weakened • 25%
Conflict stalemates • 25%
Houthis retaliate successfully • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
