Loading...
Market
How will the US-Houthi tension over the drone incident be resolved by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Continued military confrontation • 25%
Stalemate with no resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the US government and Houthi representatives or credible news reports
Story
Yemen's Houthis Claim Downing Second US MQ-9 Reaper Drone Worth $32 Million Over Marib
Jan 1, 2025, 06:40 AM
Yemen's Houthi forces have claimed that they shot down a US-made MQ-9 Reaper drone, valued at approximately $32 million, over the skies of Marib. According to Houthi military spokesman Yahya Saree, the drone was conducting hostile operations when it was downed by a domestically-manufactured surface-to-air missile. This marks the second aircraft they claim to have downed in 72 hours and the 14th overall. The US has not yet confirmed the incident.
View original story
Similar markets
Increased US military involvement • 25%
Withdrawal of US forces • 25%
Continued hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased sanctions on Yemen • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Sanctions proposed • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant response • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Confirmed successful • 25%
Denied by US • 25%
No confirmation • 25%
Confirmed unsuccessful • 25%
Limited success • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Failure • 25%
Major success • 25%