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Primary outcome of U.S. strikes on Houthi facilities by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Houthi military capabilities significantly reduced • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliatory attacks • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Official reports from U.S. Central Command, Houthi statements, or verified news reports
Story
U.S. Navy Launches Tomahawk Missiles from Red Sea at Houthi Facilities in Yemen on December 31
Jan 4, 2025, 12:05 PM
The U.S. Navy launched Tomahawk Land Attack Missiles (TLAMs) from guided-missile destroyers of the Harry S. Truman Carrier Strike Group, operating in the Red Sea, targeting Houthi command and control, weapon production, and storage facilities in Yemen on December 31. The strikes were aimed at facilities belonging to the Iranian-backed Houthi group, as announced by U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM). Footage of the missile launches from the USS Stout (DDG-55) and USS Jason Dunham (DDG-109) was released by CENTCOM, showcasing the operation against the Houthi targets.
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Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Houthi capabilities strengthened • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No measurable impact • 25%
Significant degradation of Houthi capabilities • 25%
Moderate impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minimal impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Limited impact • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant Houthi military setback • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Houthi retaliation • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued escalation • 25%
Limited success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Major success • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Increased military tension • 25%
Significant reduction in Houthi capabilities • 25%
Minor impact on Houthi capabilities • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Increased Houthi retaliation • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
Military intervention • 25%