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Market
Outcome of U.S.-Canada Tariff Dispute by December 31, 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Canada accepts tariffs • 25%
Dispute unresolved • 25%
U.S. imposes tariffs • 25%
Canada retaliates • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Official announcements or agreements from U.S. and Canadian governments
Story
Trump Mocks Trudeau as 'Governor' Amid Tariff Tensions, Suggests Canada as 51st State
Dec 10, 2024, 12:20 PM
In a late-night post on his social media platform Truth Social dated December 10, 2024, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump referred to Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau as "Governor Justin Trudeau of the Great State of Canada." The remark, made after a dinner at Mar-a-Lago, came following Trudeau's warning that Canada would respond to potential U.S. tariff threats. Trump had previously threatened to impose tariffs on Canadian imports and hinted at the idea of Canada becoming the 51st U.S. state. He mentioned looking forward to continuing discussions on tariffs and trade with Trudeau, anticipating "truly spectacular" results. The comment has sparked amusement and debate online, as Trump appeared to mock Trudeau by downgrading him from Prime Minister to Governor and referring to Canada as a U.S. state.
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Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs withdrawn • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
Tariff implemented • 25%
Tariff averted • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Retaliatory measures enacted • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Retaliatory Measures by Canada • 25%
U.S. Withdraws Tariffs • 25%
No Resolution • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs avoided with agreement • 25%
Temporary tariff suspension • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs increased • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Trade agreement reached • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
U.S. imposes tariff • 25%
Canada agrees to new terms • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Dispute unresolved • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
Tariffs avoided through agreement • 25%
Partial tariffs imposed • 25%
No resolution reached • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%
Negotiated resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Tariffs implemented • 25%
Tariffs withdrawn • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Ongoing dispute • 25%
