Loading...
Market
Outcome of Ukraine's arbitration case against Russia for Kakhovka Dam destruction
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine wins full damages • 33%
Ukraine wins partial damages • 33%
Ukraine loses case • 33%
Official announcements from Ukraine's state hydroelectric company (Ukrhydroenergo) or international arbitration bodies
Story
Ukraine Seeks Damages for Russia's June 2023 Destruction of Kakhovka HPP Dam
Jun 6, 2024, 10:36 AM
On June 6, 2023, explosives destroyed the Kakhovka Hydroelectric Dam in southern Ukraine, causing extensive flooding and significant damage. The blast, attributed to Russian forces, resulted in the deaths of hundreds of people, the destruction of hundreds of towns, and the loss of electricity for 500,000 residents. The event is considered one of the largest man-made disasters of the century. A year later, the long-term consequences are becoming clear through satellite imagery. Ukrhydroenergo, Ukraine's state hydroelectric company, has initiated international arbitration seeking damages from Russia for the destruction caused. The destruction also led to an environmental catastrophe.
View original story
Similar markets
Agreement reached on all terms • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached, talks fail • 25%
No negotiations take place • 25%
Russian victory • 33%
Ukrainian victory • 33%
Inconclusive outcome • 34%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Russia pays full amount • 33%
Russia pays partial amount • 33%
Russia pays nothing • 33%
Russian forces gain significant territory • 33%
Stalemate with no significant territorial changes • 34%
Ukrainian forces regain lost territory • 33%
Ukrainian victory • 33%
Russian victory • 33%
Inconclusive/No clear victor • 34%
Full Acceptance • 33%
Partial Acceptance • 33%
Rejection • 33%
Confirmed involvement • 33%
No involvement • 33%
Inconclusive evidence • 34%
Peace agreement reached • 33%
Conflict ongoing • 33%
Conflict escalated • 33%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continuation of current status • 25%
Reduction in hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Successful start, no issues • 33%
Minor issues, but moves forward • 33%
Major issues, delayed • 33%