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Outcome of the next major Russia-Ukraine negotiation attempt
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations collapse • 25%
No negotiations • 25%
Official announcements from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, or credible international news sources
Story
Putin: No Plan to Storm Kiev in February-March 2022, Aimed for Peace Talks
Jun 14, 2024, 10:08 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin stated that Russian troops were stationed near Kiev in February and March 2022, but there was no intention to storm the Ukrainian capital. The operation aimed to force the Ukrainian leadership to negotiate and seek peace. Putin emphasized that the objective was to push Kiev to peace talks rather than to capture the city. Additionally, he mentioned that the Russian Federation had offered Ukraine to withdraw its troops from Donbas as a solution, but this initiative was rejected.
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Agreement reached on all terms • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached, talks fail • 25%
No negotiations take place • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Peace talks collapse entirely • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 33%
Peace treaty signed • 33%
No agreement reached • 33%
POW swap • 33%
Peace treaty • 33%
No agreement • 34%
Russian victory • 33%
Ukrainian victory • 33%
Inconclusive outcome • 34%
Status quo remains • 25%
Significant Ukrainian gains • 25%
Significant Russian gains • 25%
Negotiated peace settlement • 25%
No agreement • 33%
Temporary ceasefire • 33%
Permanent peace agreement • 34%
Another POW swap • 33%
Peace negotiation • 33%
Ceasefire agreement • 34%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Further negotiations scheduled • 25%
Increased international support for Ukraine • 25%
Ukrainian victory • 33%
Russian victory • 33%
Inconclusive/No clear victor • 34%
Q3 2024 • 25%
Q4 2024 • 25%
Q1 2025 • 25%
No talks in this period • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 33%
Conflict ongoing • 33%
Conflict escalated • 33%