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Diplomatic outcomes following the Belgorod attack by end of 2024
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continuation of current status • 25%
Reduction in hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Official announcements from either the Russian or Ukrainian government
Story
Ukrainian Drone Attack Kills Mother and Child in Russia's Belgorod Region
May 17, 2024, 01:30 AM
Several settlements in Russia's Belgorod region were attacked by Ukrainian kamikaze drones, according to Governor Vyacheslav Gladkov. A woman and her four-year-old child were killed while traveling in a car as a result of the drone strike. The child's father and one other person were injured. The attack occurred in the early hours of Friday morning, and Russia's Defence Ministry reported downing more than 100 Ukrainian drones overnight.
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Increase in military security in the region • 33%
Diplomatic actions against Ukraine • 33%
No significant response • 33%
Military escalation • 33%
Diplomatic measures • 33%
No significant action • 34%
Sanctions against Ukraine • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Support for Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Another POW swap • 33%
Peace negotiation • 33%
Ceasefire agreement • 34%
Increased Diplomatic Efforts • 25%
Military Escalation • 25%
New Peace Negotiations • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Significant Ukrainian gains • 25%
Significant Russian gains • 25%
Negotiated peace settlement • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 33%
Peace treaty signed • 33%
No agreement reached • 33%
Peace agreement reached • 33%
Conflict ongoing • 33%
Conflict escalated • 33%
Deterioration in Russia-Ukraine relations • 25%
Improvement in Russia-Ukraine relations • 25%
No significant change in relations • 25%
Increased global isolation of Russia • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 33%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 33%
Humanitarian aid • 33%
Full Acceptance • 33%
Partial Acceptance • 33%
Rejection • 33%
No agreement • 33%
Temporary ceasefire • 33%
Permanent peace agreement • 34%