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Outcome of Trump's Panama Canal Interest by End of 2025
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France•Germany•US•Donald Trump•European Union•Greenland•EU•NATO•Denmark•French•German•Olaf Scholz•Trump•Panama Canal•Canada
Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Increased Tensions • 25%
No Change • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Official US or Panamanian government statements or verified news reports
Story
France and Germany Warn Trump Against Military Action on Greenland, EU's Sovereign Borders
Jan 8, 2025, 01:02 PM
France and Germany have issued strong warnings to US President-elect Donald Trump against threatening the European Union's 'sovereign borders' following his refusal to rule out military action to take control of Greenland, an autonomous territory of EU and NATO member Denmark. French Foreign Minister Jean-Noel Barrot emphasized that the EU would not allow any nation to attack its borders, while German Chancellor Olaf Scholz reiterated the principle of the inviolability of borders as fundamental international law. Trump's comments, made during a press conference, also included his interest in controlling the Panama Canal and turning Canada into a US state. These statements coincide with a visit by Trump's son, Donald Trump Jr., to Greenland.
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No significant change • 25%
US demands canal return • 25%
Other • 25%
Panama reduces fees • 25%
Increased US military presence • 25%
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Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
US demands canal return • 25%
Panama reduces tolls • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S. reimposes control • 25%
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Panama strengthens control • 25%
Negotiations begin • 25%
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Successful negotiation • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
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Relations remain unchanged • 25%
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Relations improve • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
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ALBA • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Organization of American States • 25%
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
