Loading...
Market
Outcome of Panama's Canal diplomacy by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful negotiation • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from international organizations or official government announcements
Story
Panama's Foreign Minister Declares Canal Sovereignty Non-Negotiable Amid Trump's Military Threat
Jan 8, 2025, 01:27 AM
Panama has reaffirmed that the sovereignty of the Panama Canal is non-negotiable, following comments by U.S. President-elect Donald Trump who did not rule out military action to regain control of the canal. Panama's Foreign Minister Javier Martínez-Acha emphasized that the canal is an irreversible achievement and part of the country's history of struggle. He also denied any formal or informal contact with Trump or representatives of the incoming U.S. administration. Martínez-Acha stated that the canal's operation remains in Panamanian hands and will continue to be so, stressing Panama's commitment to maintaining good relations with the U.S. while prioritizing national sovereignty.
View original story
Similar markets
Other outcome • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. demands • 25%
Negotiations continue without resolution • 25%
No significant change • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Joint control agreement • 25%
Panama retains control with fee reduction • 25%
US withdraws proposal • 25%
Panama agrees • 25%
Panama rejects • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama rejects U.S. control • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Panama agrees to U.S. control • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Successful reacquisition • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations failed • 25%
Military escalation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Increasing canal security • 25%
Seeking international arbitration • 25%
Strengthening regional alliances • 25%
Negotiation with the US • 25%
U.S. regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
No change • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
US demands canal return • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Panama reduces tolls • 25%
Other diplomatic resolution • 25%
No change • 25%
U.S. reimposes control • 25%
Increased US military presence • 25%
Diplomatic Agreement • 25%
Military Action • 25%
Economic Coercion • 25%
No Action • 25%