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Outcome of Syria's political transition by June 30, 2025?
2
United States•Travis Pete Timmerman•American•Missouri•Damascus•Syria•Timmerman•Hungary•Christian•US•Antony Blinken•Jordan
Resolution / Starting Odds
New government formed • 25%
Prolonged conflict • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
International news agencies and reports from the United Nations
Story
American Travis Pete Timmerman, 29, Found in Syria After Assad's Fall; US Seeks His Return
Dec 13, 2024, 04:05 AM
The United States is working to bring home Travis Pete Timmerman, a 29-year-old American citizen from Missouri who was found on Thursday in Damascus, Syria, after being detained for seven months. Timmerman, who had been missing since he disappeared from Hungary in June, said he was imprisoned after crossing into Syria on foot on a Christian pilgrimage. He was among thousands released from the country's notorious prisons after rebels reached Damascus over the weekend, leading to the fall of President Bashar al-Assad's regime. Timmerman called his release a 'blessing.' US Secretary of State Antony Blinken confirmed efforts to repatriate Timmerman during meetings in Jordan discussing Syria's political transition. The US believes an individual seen in a video circulating online could be Timmerman.
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Return to Previous Government Structure • 25%
Stable government formed • 25%
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Return of Assad's regime • 25%
Ongoing political instability • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Opposition takes control • 25%
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Military junta takes control • 25%
Interim government with international oversight • 25%
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No significant progress • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Transition to an inclusive government • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial political reforms • 25%
Rebels gain significant ground • 25%
Government gains significant ground • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
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Assad regime remains in power • 25%
New government established • 25%
Ongoing conflict with no clear resolution • 25%
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New leader from Assad's party • 25%
Opposition leader takes power • 25%
Bashar al-Assad remains in power • 25%
Other • 25%
Continued Conflict • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Regime Change • 25%