Loading...
Market
Outcome of Supreme Court hearing on TikTok's First Amendment challenge by January 19, 2024
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Other • 25%
Official Supreme Court ruling or announcement
Story
Trump Files Amicus Brief Urging Supreme Court to Delay January 19 TikTok Ban
Dec 27, 2024, 10:39 PM
Donald Trump has filed an amicus brief with the U.S. Supreme Court, asking it to pause a law that would ban TikTok effective January 19 if it isn't sold by its Chinese parent company ByteDance. Trump is urging the court to delay the ban to allow time to pursue a negotiated resolution that addresses national security concerns while preserving the platform used by 170 million American users. The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on January 10 regarding TikTok's First Amendment challenge. Free speech groups and members of Congress have also urged the Supreme Court to protect TikTok on First Amendment grounds, arguing that a ban would stifle the speech of millions of American users.
View original story
Similar markets
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
No ruling by deadline • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Law struck down • 25%
Law upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
TikTok loses appeal • 33%
TikTok wins appeal • 33%
Case deferred • 34%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
TikTok loses the challenge • 25%
Case delayed past January 19, 2025 • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Overturn the ban • 25%
Uphold the ban • 25%
Delay the ban • 25%
First Amendment challenge fails • 25%
Case dismissed on other grounds • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
First Amendment challenge succeeds • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Appeal Granted • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
No decision • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Appeal upheld • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%