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Outcome of TikTok Supreme Court Case by January 19, 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. Supreme Court ruling and official announcements
Story
Supreme Court to Hear TikTok Ban Challenge Amid National Security and Free Speech Clash
Jan 9, 2025, 09:58 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on Friday over a federal law signed by President Joe Biden in April that requires TikTok, owned by Chinese company ByteDance, to be sold by January 19 or face a nationwide ban due to national security concerns. TikTok is suing to block the law, citing free speech rights, and has announced plans to shut down its U.S. operations on January 19 unless the Supreme Court blocks or delays the ban. The case pits national security concerns against free speech rights, with the fate of the popular social media platform, used by roughly half of the U.S. population, hanging in the balance.
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TikTok loses the challenge • 25%
Case delayed past January 19, 2025 • 25%
TikTok wins the challenge • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case deferred • 34%
TikTok loses appeal • 33%
TikTok wins appeal • 33%
Ban blocked • 25%
No ruling by deadline • 25%
Appeal dismissed • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Appeal Granted • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Appeal Denied • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Appeal upheld • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Partial relief granted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban blocked • 25%
Appeal Granted • 33%
Other Outcome • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Ban Upheld • 25%
Ban Overturned • 25%
No Ruling by Deadline • 34%
Appeal Denied • 33%
Uphold the ban • 25%
Delay the ban • 25%
Overturn the ban • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
No Decision by Deadline • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Sale enforced • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Delay granted • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%