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Will Supreme Court rule in favor of TikTok's First Amendment challenge by January 19, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official Supreme Court ruling or announcement
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Trump Files Amicus Brief Urging Supreme Court to Delay January 19 TikTok Ban
Dec 27, 2024, 10:39 PM
Donald Trump has filed an amicus brief with the U.S. Supreme Court, asking it to pause a law that would ban TikTok effective January 19 if it isn't sold by its Chinese parent company ByteDance. Trump is urging the court to delay the ban to allow time to pursue a negotiated resolution that addresses national security concerns while preserving the platform used by 170 million American users. The Supreme Court is set to hear arguments on January 10 regarding TikTok's First Amendment challenge. Free speech groups and members of Congress have also urged the Supreme Court to protect TikTok on First Amendment grounds, arguing that a ban would stifle the speech of millions of American users.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Law upheld • 25%
Law struck down • 25%
Other • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ruling against TikTok • 25%
Rule against TikTok • 25%
Ruling in favor of TikTok • 25%
Dismiss the case • 25%
Postpone the decision • 25%
Rule in favor of TikTok • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Decision delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
