Loading...
Market
Outcome of SDF and Damascus dialogue by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Nationwide ceasefire • 25%
Formal political agreement • 25%
Continued dialogue without agreement • 25%
Breakdown in talks • 25%
Official statements from the SDF and Damascus authorities, news reports
Story
SDF Commander Mazloum Abdi Agrees with Damascus to Reject Division Plans
Jan 8, 2025, 09:03 PM
The Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), a Kurdish-led group controlling an autonomous region in northeastern Syria, have announced an agreement with the new authorities in Damascus to oppose any plans for division of the country. This statement comes from Mazloum Abdi, the commander of the SDF, who emphasized the group's commitment to the unity and territorial integrity of Syria. The agreement follows a recent meeting between Kurdish leaders and the Damascus authorities, which Abdi described as 'positive'. The SDF supports the new administration's efforts to stabilize Syria and facilitate constructive dialogue among Syrians, urging the new leadership to intervene for a nationwide ceasefire. This announcement comes amidst reports of Turkish shelling killing Kurdish civilians during a protest near the Tishreen Dam.
View original story
Similar markets
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
Ongoing Negotiations • 25%
No Talks Initiated • 25%
Successful Agreement • 25%
Negotiations Collapse • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial agreement • 25%
Full integration • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
National unity government formed • 25%
Modified and accepted • 25%
Rejected by Turkey • 25%
Accepted by Turkey • 25%
No resolution • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Partial reconciliation achieved • 25%
No reconciliation achieved • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Full reconciliation achieved • 25%
Major incidents reported • 25%
Significant breach of security • 25%
Fully secure, no incidents • 25%
Minor incidents reported • 25%
Controlled by rebels • 25%
Divided control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Under Assad's control • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No progress • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Islamic State • 25%
Syrian National Coalition • 25%
Bashar al-Assad loyalists • 25%
Other • 25%