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Outcome of regional tensions after Beirut airstrike by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Escalation of Conflict • 25%
De-escalation and Peace Talks • 25%
Status Quo Maintained • 25%
Other Significant Outcome • 25%
Verified reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Israeli Airstrike on Beirut's Basta Area Kills 20, Targets Hezbollah Commander
Nov 23, 2024, 01:13 PM
An Israeli airstrike struck an eight-story residential building in the Basta al-Fawqa area of central Beirut on Saturday, killing at least 20 people and injuring 66 others, according to Lebanon's Health Ministry. The building was hit with five missiles, leveling it and causing extensive damage to nearby structures. The attack reportedly targeted Muhammad Haidar, a senior Hezbollah commander. The strikes occurred without prior warning, raising fears of escalation in the region. Rescue operations continued hours after the building was destroyed.
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Significant damage to Hezbollah infrastructure • 25%
Minimal damage to Hezbollah infrastructure • 25%
No confirmed damage • 25%
Hezbollah infrastructure relocated • 25%
Government remains stable • 25%
Government resigns • 25%
New elections called • 25%
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Increased support for Hezbollah • 25%
Decreased support for Hezbollah • 25%
Increased political instability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant response • 25%
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Government collapse • 25%
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EU sanctions on Israel • 25%
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