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Outcome of Israeli anti-terrorism operation in Tulkarm by end of August 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete success with no further clashes • 25%
Partial success with minor clashes • 25%
Operation ongoing with significant clashes • 25%
Operation halted due to international pressure • 25%
News reports from credible sources such as Reuters, BBC, or Al Jazeera
Story
Israeli Drone Strike in Qaffin Kills Hamas Commander and Four Others in West Bank
Aug 3, 2024, 07:31 AM
Israeli forces conducted a significant military operation in Tulkarm, West Bank, resulting in multiple airstrikes. On Saturday morning, an Israeli drone struck a vehicle carrying a Hamas commander and four other individuals in the town of Qaffin, killing all five. The strike targeted a terrorist cell en route to an attack, according to the IDF. The deceased included Haythem Balidi, a local Hamas military chief. Following the airstrike, Israeli ground forces entered Tulkarm to conduct a major anti-terrorism operation, leading to numerous arrests and further clashes.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Complete Withdrawal • 25%
Partial Withdrawal • 25%
Continued Occupation • 25%
Escalation of Conflict • 25%
Significant reduction in terrorist activities • 25%
No significant change in terrorist activities • 25%
Increase in terrorist activities • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%
Complete surrender of Hamas forces • 25%
Partial surrender with ongoing conflict • 25%
Hamas regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
0-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
31 or more • 25%
IDF declares mission accomplished • 25%
IDF faces significant resistance • 25%
Operation is prolonged beyond August • 25%
Other • 25%
Operations will end without further incidents • 25%
Operations will end with minor incidents • 25%
Operations will end with major incidents • 25%
Operations will continue into 2025 • 25%
Arrests of Hamas-affiliated individuals • 25%
Confiscation of weapons • 25%
Both arrests and confiscation • 25%
No major operation • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%