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What will be the outcome of the next major security operation in the West Bank by Israeli forces by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Arrests of Hamas-affiliated individuals • 25%
Confiscation of weapons • 25%
Both arrests and confiscation • 25%
No major operation • 25%
Official announcements from Shin Bet, IDF, or Israeli government
Story
Shin Bet Thwarts Hamas-Affiliated Shooting Attack by Birzeit University Students in Ramallah
Jul 22, 2024, 12:59 PM
The Shin Bet, in collaboration with the IDF and the Israeli police's Gideonim Unit, thwarted a significant terror attack planned by Hamas-affiliated students from Birzeit University in Ramallah, West Bank. Five members of the student council, known as 'Katla Islamiya,' were arrested for attempting to carry out a shooting attack for the terror group. Authorities confiscated an assault rifle and thousands of dollars in cash provided by Hamas. This operation highlights the ongoing security challenges posed by Hamas in the region.
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Significant success • 25%
Moderate success • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Failure • 25%
Operations will end without further incidents • 25%
Operations will end with minor incidents • 25%
Operations will end with major incidents • 25%
Operations will continue into 2025 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Significant reduction in terrorist activities • 25%
No significant change in terrorist activities • 25%
Increase in terrorist activities • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Decrease in attacks • 25%
No change in attacks • 25%
Increase in attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant decrease in smuggling attempts • 25%
No change in smuggling attempts • 25%
Increase in smuggling attempts • 25%
Undetermined/Other outcome • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Ground Operation • 25%
Drone Strike • 25%
Other • 25%
Operations increase • 25%
Operations decrease • 25%
Operations stay the same • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Jenin • 25%
Tulkarm • 25%
Nablus • 25%
Other • 25%
Drone strike • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
None • 25%