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Outcome of the Israeli military operations in the West Bank by the end of 2024
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Operations will end without further incidents • 25%
Operations will end with minor incidents • 25%
Operations will end with major incidents • 25%
Operations will continue into 2025 • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) and verified news reports
Story
Israeli Forces Kill Two in West Bank as Car Bombs Detonate, Three Hurt
Sep 1, 2024, 04:21 AM
Israeli military forces have reported the killing of two Palestinians in the West Bank, who were allegedly involved in planning bombings. The incidents occurred amid ongoing Israeli operations in the region, which have entered their fourth day. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) stated that the attackers were killed in separate incidents; one infiltrated an Israeli settlement, and the other shot at soldiers after his car exploded, with car bombs detonating and three people hurt. Additionally, a shooting attack at the Tarqumiyah checkpoint in the West Bank resulted in three deaths and several injuries. The IDF is actively pursuing the gunmen involved in the shooting.
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Arrests of Hamas-affiliated individuals • 25%
Confiscation of weapons • 25%
Both arrests and confiscation • 25%
No major operation • 25%
Significant reduction in terrorist activities • 25%
No significant change in terrorist activities • 25%
Increase in terrorist activities • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%
Significant success • 25%
Moderate success • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Failure • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant Israeli gains • 25%
Significant Hamas gains • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Operations increase • 25%
Operations decrease • 25%
Operations stay the same • 25%
Operations cease • 25%
Significant decrease in smuggling attempts • 25%
No change in smuggling attempts • 25%
Increase in smuggling attempts • 25%
Undetermined/Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Successful in neutralizing Hezbollah threat • 25%
Limited success with ongoing threats • 25%
No significant impact on Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
Drone strike • 25%
Airstrike • 25%
Ground incursion • 25%
None • 25%
Decrease in attacks • 25%
No change in attacks • 25%
Increase in attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
