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Outcome of Israeli counterterrorism campaign in the West Bank by end of 2024?
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Palestinian•Tulkarm•West Bank•Israel Defense Forces•IDF•Israeli Security Agency•ISA•Israeli Border Police
Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in terrorist activities • 25%
No significant change in terrorist activities • 25%
Increase in terrorist activities • 25%
Unclear outcome • 25%
Statements from the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) or credible news agencies
Story
Israeli Forces Kill Five Gunmen in Tulkarm Mosque
Aug 29, 2024, 05:16 AM
Israeli security forces have killed five Palestinian gunmen who were hiding in a mosque in Tulkarm, located in the West Bank. The incident occurred overnight during a joint counterterrorism operation conducted by the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), the Israeli Security Agency (ISA), and the Israeli Border Police. The operation in Tulkarm is part of a broader campaign against terrorism in the West Bank. The exchange of fire resulted in the elimination of the gunmen, including a local terror leader, according to statements from the IDF. The gunmen had barricaded themselves inside the mosque.
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Significant decrease in smuggling attempts • 25%
No change in smuggling attempts • 25%
Increase in smuggling attempts • 25%
Undetermined/Other outcome • 25%
Operations will end without further incidents • 25%
Operations will end with minor incidents • 25%
Operations will end with major incidents • 25%
Operations will continue into 2025 • 25%
Arrests of Hamas-affiliated individuals • 25%
Confiscation of weapons • 25%
Both arrests and confiscation • 25%
No major operation • 25%
Complete success with no further clashes • 25%
Partial success with minor clashes • 25%
Operation ongoing with significant clashes • 25%
Operation halted due to international pressure • 25%
Decrease in attacks • 25%
No change in attacks • 25%
Increase in attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
31 or more • 25%
Significant success • 25%
Moderate success • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Failure • 25%
Successful • 33%
Unsuccessful • 33%
Ongoing • 34%
Significant reduction in violence • 25%
Moderate reduction in violence • 25%
No change in violence • 25%
Increase in violence • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Significant Israeli gains • 25%
Significant Hamas gains • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
21-30 • 25%
31+ • 25%