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Outcome of Israeli airstrikes in Gaza by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Renewed ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Reports from major news outlets and official statements from involved parties
Story
Israeli Airstrikes Kill Over 50, Including Children, in Gaza After Ceasefire Deal
Jan 16, 2025, 07:13 AM
Israeli forces intensified airstrikes on Gaza hours after announcing a ceasefire deal with Hamas, according to residents and authorities in the Palestinian enclave. Medical sources reported that over 50 Palestinians, including children, were killed in the attacks that targeted Gaza City and other areas across the territory. The ceasefire agreement, which was expected to commence on Sunday, has been overshadowed by the renewed violence.
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Hamas significantly weakened • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Increased hostilities • 25%
Hamas retains capabilities • 25%
Significant reduction in hostilities • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Continuation of current conflict levels • 25%
Hamas retains significant control • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Partial defeat with cease-fire • 25%
Complete defeat of Hamas • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Significant reduction in Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Continuation of current conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Full Israeli control • 25%
Partial Israeli control • 25%
Return to pre-October 7 status quo • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Mediation talks ongoing • 25%
Continued military escalation • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
No formal condemnation • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Condemnation by US • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Peace negotiations • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
200 to 299 • 25%
300 or more • 25%
100 to 199 • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%